Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 2.024000 2.337699 2.682459 3.089277 3.556041 4.074687 4.694594
2025-04-06 1.591219 2.001895 2.491386 3.117123 3.895195 4.830347 6.039343
2025-04-13 1.218356 1.652209 2.207380 2.968410 3.983208 5.288586 7.094462
2025-04-20 1.039447 1.506539 2.142988 3.070878 4.386563 6.182713 8.818975
2025-04-27 0.920110 1.415865 2.130575 3.231714 4.881120 7.255343 10.928140
2025-05-04 0.803606 1.306379 2.069607 3.306305 5.253661 8.194861 12.966695
2025-05-11 0.701929 1.200499 1.994269 3.341585 5.562745 9.068576 15.009692
2025-05-18 0.595234 1.067839 1.854715 3.249785 5.650564 9.598969 16.567255
2025-05-25 0.497161 0.933123 1.690320 3.089028 5.595233 9.879159 17.732580
2025-06-01 0.440268 0.861770 1.623114 3.083977 5.801053 10.613632 19.750557
2025-06-08 0.384398 0.783298 1.531354 3.019813 5.888468 11.144500 21.460953
2025-06-15 0.366415 0.774747 1.567279 3.197557 6.443342 12.576875 24.986149
2025-06-22 0.340002 0.746816 1.564863 3.306179 6.890678 13.882072 28.472680
2025-06-29 0.306506 0.699070 1.516535 3.316258 7.144608 14.847290 31.418900
2025-07-06 0.261406 0.619154 1.390659 3.147443 7.008970 15.022818 32.794106
2025-07-13 0.244605 0.599871 1.391091 3.249447 7.458873 16.445976 36.935268
2025-07-20 0.234084 0.593469 1.418830 3.415441 8.069217 18.276251 42.166488
2025-07-27 0.218158 0.571567 1.408192 3.491821 8.487076 19.737024 46.756671
2025-08-03 0.201306 0.544675 1.382026 3.527657 8.814885 21.033723 51.127309
2025-08-10 0.178730 0.499494 1.305371 3.430099 8.811809 21.573945 53.804186
2025-08-17 0.155239 0.448005 1.205589 3.260215 8.607833 21.616220 55.291538
2025-08-24 0.142446 0.423642 1.171671 3.254643 8.815364 22.666951 59.360768
2025-08-31 0.128248 0.393036 1.117070 3.186877 8.853542 23.305345 62.473620